Brazilian Senate President Pacheco: I think it is possible for the House of Representatives and the Senate to approve the financial plan this year.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Guotai Junan: The liquor sector is determined to be ahead of growth, paying attention to the trend of price approval and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. Guotai Junan said that the liquor reporting end began to enter a downward period in 2024Q2, and the bottom shock is expected in 2025H1. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period.
On the tariffs proposed by the Trump administration, Costco executives said that the company had faced tariffs in the past and believed that its businesses had the ability to cope with this situation.Suspected of misleading investors and being accused of bundling sales, NVIDIA is frequently involved in anti-monopoly investigations around the world. After China filed an anti-monopoly investigation against NVIDIA a few days ago, on the 12th, this artificial intelligence chip manufacturing giant was once again involved in the judicial turmoil. The US Supreme Court allowed investors to file a class action lawsuit against chipmaker NVIDIA, and rejected NVIDIA's appeal. This is the latest judicial dispute that NVIDIA has fallen into since the French, European Union and China launched an "anti-monopoly investigation" against NVIDIA.Soochow securities Lu Zhe: The Central Economic Work Conference further boosted confidence in the capital market. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing on December 11th and 12th. The meeting analyzed the current economic situation and deployed economic work in 2025. Lu Zhe, chief economist of soochow securities, believes that the contents of the meeting will face the adverse changes and influences of the internal and external economic environment directly, with more emphasis on the orientation of policy consistency, and policy coordination will be more important next year. Next year, the strength of macro-policies will be significantly increased, and more concrete and operable policy measures will be introduced, which will provide a strong guarantee for the economy to tide over difficulties in the short term and deepen long-term reforms. Lu Zhe said that the Central Economic Work Conference regards "stabilizing the stock market and the property market" as the basic premise of steady growth, which on the one hand shows that the policy pays more attention to the capital market, and on the other hand shows that stabilizing the capital market and the real estate market is an important working means to boost confidence and enhance expectations. Judging from the key work arrangement of the meeting, the combination of "moderately loose monetary policy" and "more active fiscal policy" and the extraordinary countercyclical adjustment are expected to stabilize the economic fundamentals, provide more macro liquidity for the market, and guide the confidence stability and profit recovery of the capital market. (SSE)
Zou Lan, Director of the Monetary Policy Department of the Central Bank: A moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the coping capacity and space of monetary policy. The Central Economic Work Conference that ended yesterday released a series of positive signals. The relevant person in charge of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China said that the Central Economic Work Conference changed the orientation of monetary policy from "moderate" to "moderately loose" next year, and made it clear that more active and promising macro policies would be implemented, highlighting the determination of policies to promote economic recovery. Zou Lan, director of the Monetary Policy Department of the People's Bank of China, said that the implementation of moderately loose monetary policy is also the embodiment of countercyclical adjustment. At present, the adverse effects brought by changes in the external environment have deepened, and China's economic operation still faces many difficulties and challenges. The moderately loose monetary policy orientation has enhanced the ability and space for monetary policy to cope. (CCTV News)Guangdian Express: It was confirmed as the transaction supplier of "Guangzhou Intelligent Computing Operation Service Platform (Phase I) Project". Guangdian Express (002152) announced on the evening of December 13th that the company was confirmed as the transaction supplier of "Guangzhou Intelligent Computing Operation Service Platform (Phase I) Project" with a transaction price of 27.5 million yuan. The implementation of this project will help to further deepen the company's capacity building in data infrastructure and computing resource management, and enhance the company's industry influence and technical strength in the field of intelligent computing.Amco: agreed to buy 2,000 bitcoin mining machines from Canaan Creative Global.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-14